Markets

The 15 Worst Housing Markets For The Next Five Years

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Miami, Florida
Wikipedia

If you bought a home in Miami in 2005, we're sorry: over the following six years it depreciated in value by more than 54.3%.

And the rebound -- if there is a rebound -- won't come soon.

Between Q2 2011 and Q2 2016, Miami home prices will decline at an annualized rate of 0.7%, according to data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller.

Fiserv identified 15 housing markets that will appreciate at an annualized rate of less than 1.5% -- a pretty lousy investment. If you stay out of these markets, the national average is slightly better at 3.7%. [Note: The data has been corrected for Midland, Texas.]

The worst place to invest: Miami, Florida

Miami, Florida
Wikipedia

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -54.3%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: -0.7%

Trough: Q3 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

The second worst place to invest: Atlantic City, New Jersey

atlantic city

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -34.05%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 0.2%

Trough: Q3 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

The third worst place to invest: Nassau County, New York

nassau county

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -27.3%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 0.7%

Trough: Q4 2011

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#4 (tie) Fort Lauderdale, Florida

abilene texas

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -52.9%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 0.8%

Trough: Q4 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#4 (tie) Midland, Texas

abilene texas

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: 40.9% [Note: This figure has been corrected to +40.9 from -40.9.]

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 0.8%

Trough: Q1 2009

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#4 (tie) Washington DC

washington monument DC
flickr

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -28.1%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 0.8%

Trough: Q1 2009

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#7 Abilene, Texas

abilene texas

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -18.9%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.0%

Trough: Q1 2009

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#8 Morgantown, West Virginia

morgantown west virginia

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -4.15%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.1%

Trough: N/A

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#9 (tie) Austin, Texas

Austin Texas Plane Crash
http://twitpic.com/13yxsb

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: 2.63%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.2%

Trough: Q4 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#9 (tie) Waterloo-Cedar Falls, Iowa

waterloo iowa

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -2.73%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.2%

Trough: N/A

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#11 (tie) Baton Rouge, Louisiana

Baton Rouge

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -14.48%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.4%

Trough: Q1 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#11 (tie) Amarillo, Texas

amarillo texas

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -10.5%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.4%

Trough: Q4 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#11 (tie) Lancaster, Pennsylvania

atlantic city

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -5.15%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.4%

Trough: Q2 2012

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#11 (tie) Monroe, Louisiana

Monroe Louisiana

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -11.31%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.4%

Trough: N/A

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

#11 (tie) Shreveport, Louisiana

shreveport Louisiana

Cumulative growth from 2005 to 2011: -10.38%

Annualized growth from 2011 to 2016: 1.4%

Trough: Q3 2011

Data provided by Fiserv Case Shiller Indexes.

If foreclosures pick up, then things could get even worse

image

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Gus worked at Business Insider from 2009 to 2017. Starting as an intern, he did a bit of everything, launching sections covering lifestyle, science, personal finance, military, and more, eventually serving as executive editor of Business Insider and editor-in-chief of Tech Insider.As a writer, some of his favorite stories looked facial bias, the philosophy of Peter Thiel, Chinese ghost cities, self-driving car ethics, the average family on earth, Wikipedia hoax-hunters, income inequality, bleak futurism, global communication patterns, and the worst hotel in New York.As an editor and executive producer, some of his favorite stories include photo essays from the Canadian tar sands to the streets of Cairo, features about Vine stardom and dog cloning, and a documentary on hacking the grid.Gus graduated from Dartmouth College. He interned at Boston Review, 826 Boston, and Yes! Weekly.
Linette was a senior correspondent at Business Insider who focused her writing on tech, finance and economics as well as international relations. She also conducted investigations into controversial companies, like Tesla.She joined BI in the summer of 2011 after graduating from Columbia University's School of Journalism and holds a BA from Columbia University, where she finished her undergraduate education in 2008.In 2017 she won the Folio 'Rising Star' award for top women in media. In 2020 she won the 'Excellence in Financial Journalism' Award in opinion writing from NYSSCPA for a piece on US-China relations, 'The Huawei indictment marks the end of US and China's cycle of trust.' In 2023 she won the New York Press Club award for commentary in digital journalism for a series of stories about the stock market's decline in 2022.She contributes to "Marketplace," a radio show from American Public Media, and can be seen on MSNBC and CNN.Some stories by Linette: