AI

VCs are 'hedging their bets,' backing competing LLMs like Anthropic and OpenAI, breaking a long-standing venture taboo

Left: OpenAI logo on a phone in black and white. Right: Anthropic logo on a phone in black and white.
left: CFOTO/Future Publishing via Getty Images right: Photo Illustration by Omar Marques/SOPA Images/LightRocket via Getty Images
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When venture firms pull out their checkbooks, there has traditionally been an unspoken rule: Do not back a competitor. Choose either Lyft or Uber, but not both.

"I have never seen it before, and I assumed no one would do it," said Joe Aaron, founding partner at TRAC. "Would you want a company that invested with you investing in your competitor?"

However, that norm seems to be disappearing as investors pour billions into competing large language model (LLM) startups.

Andreessen Horowitz has backed OpenAI, Elon Musk's XAI, and Safe Superintelligence (SSI), the AI startup co-founded by former OpenAI chief scientist Ilya Sutskever. Sequoia Capital invested in OpenAI in 2021 and then backed SSI in September. Fidelity and Ark Invest have stakes in both OpenAI and XAi. Sound Ventures and Wisdom Ventures backed both OpenAI and Anthropic.

"I think it's really flawed and very unethical," said Umesh Padval, managing director at Thomvest Ventures, which backed Cohere, a Canadian LLM developer. "I will never invest in Anthropic or OpenAI, because how can you say 'I'm going to be all in with you, but I'm hedging my bet."'

To Padval, investing in similar companies is an affront to what he sees as the central function of a VC, which is to identify a company and be strongly committed to it.

"The hedging of the bet happens when people are not convinced about their thesis," Padval said. "If the company doesn't do well, that's venture capital. But in order to cover yourself up, don't do another company."

Padval is also concerned about VCs who are privy to confidential information and potentially sharing it with a competitor.

"People make it sound like it's firewalls, but there's no firewalls," he said.

However, one person whose firm invested in both OpenAI and Anthropic denied they had access to private information.

"We are really not privy to the inner workings of either a company to a degree where it would be concerning that we would be carrying information into the enemy camp," said the investor, who asked not to be identified because they were discussing internal dealings.

OpenAI reportedly asked investors in its latest funding to refrain from investing in five competitors, something it is uniquely positioned to do, according to Gregg Hill, co-founder and general managing partner at Parkway Venture Capital.

"OpenAI wouldn't make such a request if they couldn't secure the billions needed for their funding rounds," said Hill. "Ultimately, the market will decide what succeeds."

Some VCs don't have a problem with investing in LLM competitors

It could make sense to back multiple LLMs at this relatively early stage because there will not be a single winner, argues S. Somasegar, managing partner at Madrona Ventures.

"Every company that is building an AI-driven application is using multiple models, and nobody thinks they are going to restrict themselves to using just one model," said Somasegar. "I think the rules for investments might have been more murky in these early days and I expect them to sort themselves out as we get more understanding of what these model companies are evolving into."

There is also the matter of money, with only a handful of firms capable of writing the colossal checks required to fund LLM companies. The top ones have raised so much money that investing in them is equivalent to buying shares of similar public companies on the NASDAQ, said a VC at a firm that has backed both OpenAI and xAI.

"You wouldn't do this for small private companies where the next round really matters, but once you break billions of dollars, honestly, what's the difference?" said the VC. "They might as well be public companies even how much money they've raised."

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Ben Bergman
I'm a senior correspondent at Business Insider, where I cover the tech industry with a focus on venture capital and startups.I can frequently be seen on CNN and other channels providing analysis on a range of business and economic topics. I also appear often at dozens of the biggest events around the world, including the World Economic Forum, HumanX, and Web Summit.Please get in touch if you have a story to tell. For tips (not pitches), you can message me securely on Signal @BenBergman.11Previously, I was a senior reporter at LAist/Southern California Public Radio, where I covered business and economics. I have also written for The New York Times and Columbia Journalism Review and was a reporting intern at The Times. I started my career as a producer for NPR's Morning Edition and also produced award-winning documentaries for public television.I spent the 2017-2018 academic year at Columbia Business School as a Knight-Bagehot fellow. After that, I oversaw the development of The Journal, a daily podcast produced by The Wall Street Journal and Gimlet Media.Originally from Seattle, I graduated cum laude from Occidental College in Los Angeles with a degree in politics.In my free time, I love skiing, tennis,  poker, and cheering on the Seattle Seahawks. I competed in the 2024 World Series of Poker Main Event but sadly did not win. 
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Riddhi Kanetkar
Riddhi was a senior startups and VC reporter at Business Insider's London office, where she covered VC, and AI and climate startups. She has reported on everything from funding rounds to layoffs and investigated company culture at tech startups. She also writes about the intersection of Big Tech and VC, and global industry trends in the AI and VC ecosystem.She received her Bachelor's from UCL, where she studied Comparative Literature. Have a tip? Contact her at rkanetkar@jkmperu.com, or reach out using a non-work device at riddhikanetkar@proton.me, or on Signal at riddhikanetkar.64Sample of stories:GoStudent, the $3 billion edtech darling, scaled fast and partied hard. The result was a mess.AI Forge promised to help founders build their dream startups. Some say the incubator was a chaotic disappointment.Fast-fashion behemoth Shein is preparing for an IPO. Here's an inside look at the challenges it could face.DeepMind's secret mafia: Meet the stealth startups emerging from Google's AI labThe wildest deal in tech right now is about to turn 6-month-old LLM startup Mistral into a $2 billion unicorn, sources sayPeter Thiel-backed TMRW wants to revolutionize the egg-freezing industry. We visited the startup's new London HQ to experience its tech first hand.I was laid off from events startup Pollen after it suddenly imploded. I'm furious when I think about missed paychecks and not making rent.Shock, anger, and confusion: Inside Snap's decision to shut down Zenly, a social app with 40 million users