Finance

The small-car market in the US is officially a disaster

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Hot Wheels Model S
Small!  Screenshot via YouTube

Edmunds, the consumer-oriented auto site, has a new report on why used small cars are a great value at the moment.

That's great news for car buyers, but it's actually bad news for small cars.

"If you're a used-car shopper in the market for a small vehicle, this is a great time to buy," Edmunds senior analyst Ivan Drury said in a statement.

"Prices are down for these vehicles because there is so much more demand for used trucks and SUVs. There are also lots of smaller cars coming back to the used-car market as people trade up into larger vehicles. So not only are prices low on used small cars, but there's also a wide selection available."

The key takeaway here is that the value of used small cars is cratering, which means that new prices are also slipping. Plus, nobody wants a small car in the US, and that lack of desire is flooding the used-car market with supply. What are those folks trading up to? A bigger and more expensive SUV.

This is familiar dynamic in the US auto market. Automakers have a difficult time making money on small cars, but they can rake it in on pickups and SUVs. Right now, those two segments are booming. Meanwhile, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles is discontinuing all passenger car production in the US to double down on SUVs.

Left for dead

Cadillac XT5
This is what they really want.  Benjamin Zhang/Business Insider

In the past, Ford, General Motors, and FCA (when it was just Chrysler) left the small-car market for dead. Let Honda and Toyota try to figure out how to achieve a narrow profit margin — we'll focus on trucks.

The combination of the financial crisis and a spike in gas prices in 2009 forced Detroit to rethink its attitude. But as surely as the sun sets in the west, the US market recovered, and the traditional mix of large vehicles came back into favor.

So now automakers are in the awkward position of supporting small cars that provide, at best, skinny margins and that come back to dealers off leases and as trade-ins with pretty crummy residual values — leading to the fire-sale conditions that Edmunds highlighted.

Give this some time, but not too much. If the truck-and-SUV boom holds up, carmakers will likely bail on small cars in the US yet again.

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Matthew is a Business Insider senior correspondent who covers transportation (and chess, guitars, home-audio equipment, cocktails, and sometimes classic rock). His focus is the global auto industry, including Tesla, a company he has chronicled since 2007. He also looks after Business Insider's annual Car of the Year award, announced every fall. He's written for The New York Times, Slate, The Washington Post, the Los Angeles Times, HuffPost, and CBS Interactive. He's commented on the auto industry for a variety of media outlets, including Sirius XM, MSNBC, Radio France, KPCC, and KCRW.  DeBord won the 2018 Ken Purdy Award from the International Motor Press Association. He's taught at New York University's Stern School of Business and the Marshall School of Business at the University of Southern California. His book "Return to Glory: The Story of Ford's Revival and Victory at the Toughest Race in the World" was published in 2017 by Atlantic Monthly Press and came out in paperback in June 2018. In the New York Times Book Review, Jonathan Kellerman called it a "page-turning synthesis of business book and adventure saga."