Military & Defense

Many experts are already skeptical of North Korea's claims of a successful hydrogen-bomb test

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North Korean leader Kim Jong Un gives a New Year's address for 2016 in Pyongyang, in this undated photo released by Kyodo January 1, 2016.  REUTERS/Kyodo/Files
North Korean leader Kim Jong Un giving a New Year's address for 2016 in Pyongyang.  Thomson Reuters

North Korea announced on state television Wednesday that it had successfully detonated a "miniaturized" hydrogen bomb.

The announcement came hours after South Korean officials reported an artificial earthquake 30 miles north of Kilju, where North Korea's primary nuclear test site is located.

The US Geological Survey measured the magnitude of the quake at 5.1, the same magnitude reported after North Korea's most recent confirmed nuclear test, in February 2013.

Despite North Korea's announcement, many geopolitical experts remained skeptical of the country's claims of a successful hydrogen-bomb test, undoubtedly because of North Korean state media's tendency to exaggerate or outright lie about happenings in the isolated nation.

RAND senior defense analyst Bruce Bennett wrote in an opinion piece for CNN that it was unlikely that North Korea had achieved a successful hydrogen fusion bomb considering that the country's three previous nuclear tests appeared to show a difficulty in mastering a fission weapon.

Bennett did note that there was another possibility:

En route to the development of fusion weapons, some countries develop so-called "boosted" weapons, which use a small amount of fusion to boost the fission process, causing more large atoms to fission and thus releasing more energy — initially, perhaps a weapon of 50 kilotons or so. Because some fusion is involved in such a weapon, Kim may be claiming that he has achieved a hydrogen bomb when in practice he only has a boosted weapon.

That possibility was echoed by Joe Cirincione, the president of Ploughshares Fund, a global security foundation:

Other experts on Twitter expressed skepticism as well:

Others are noting the similarities in some measures between a 2013 nuclear test and Tuesday's:

Here's North Korea's full statement, translated to English by NPR:

Chosun's first hydrogen bomb testing was completely successful.

The tens of millions of fighters in our nation embraced the battle cry of the Party with hearts full of boiling blood... 

The strategic determination of the Chosun Workers Party has led to the success of our first hydrogen bomb testing on January 6, 10 a.m., Juche 105 (year 2016).

This test, which relied 100% on our wisdom, our technology and our power, we have proved the accuracy of the technological resources behind our newly developed test hydrogen bomb. We have also proves scientifically the power of miniaturized hydrogen bombs.

The experimentation of our test-hydrogen bomb was carried out safety and perfectly, proving absolutely no negative effects on the surrounding natural environment.

This hydrogen bomb testing elevates the level of our nuclear weapons development. The complete success of our historic hydrogen bomb testing has proudly elevated the DPRK to the ranks of nations possessing nuclear weapons. Our people have boasted the dignified spirit of the nation, with the best nuclear restraint.

The hydrogen bomb testing, carried out by our nation, is a defense mechanism to protect the autonomy and survival of the nation from the increasing nuclear threats of the enemy powers, centered around the US, and reliably guarantee the peace and safety of the region.

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Harrison was Business Insider's first international correspondent, covering global issues, international technology industries, and travel from both a budget and a luxury perspective. In 2018 and 2019, he covered the deleterious effects of ride-hailing apps on centuries-old traditions in Bali, discovered growing pains at one of China's most hyped tech startups, followed the Arab leader in Israel likened to both Martin Luther King, Jr. and a terrorist, and hung out with Sean Miyashiro, the enigmatic founder of one of the hottest companies in hip-hop, and followed the United Arab Emirates' top falcon trainers, among other stories. Harrison joined the company in 2013. He used a combination of text, photography, and video to cover everything from an extraordinary attempt at police reform in New York's capital and the election of a groundbreaking progressive district attorney in Philadelphia to the consequences and causes of and solutions to the opioid crisis. He was previously a deputy editor overseeing Business Insider's news, politics, military and defense, and sports teams. Harrison graduated from Tufts University in 2012 with a bachelor's degree in history, English literature, and communications and media studies. Read more here »