Politics

LIVE RESULTS: Sanders wins New Hampshire primary, edging out Buttigieg and shellacking Joe Biden

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Polls across the Granite State began to close at 7 p.m.  Follow along with our live, up-to-the-minute coverage here:

Read more about how Democrats will elect their presidential nominee over the next several months

Catch up on live coverage from the primary:

Breaking news tonight:

New Hampshire polls and lead-up:

What's at stake in the New Hampshire primary

While New Hampshire is a small state that holds just 24, or 0.4%, of the delegates allocated through the primary process and isn't representative of the larger Democratic primary electorate, it holds disproportionate importance as the first primary.

Of the 24 pledged delegates:

  • 8 will be decided by the outcome of the vote in the 1st Congressional District
  • 8 from the vote in the 2nd District
  • 8 from the statewide vote
nh delegation
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As usual, there's a 15% threshold, above which presidential candidates get delegates. 

Decision Desk HQ in partnership with the University of Virginia Center for Politics estimates that Sanders and Buttigieg will win nine national pledged delegates each compared to six for Klobuchar, with Biden and Warren picking up zero from New Hampshire. 

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DELEGATE COUNT: Here's who's winning the race for the 2020 Democratic nomination

The results of Tuesday's Democratic primary are likely to be particularly crucial for Sen. Elizabeth Warren and former Vice President Joe Biden, both of whom are hoping for a strong comeback after their third- and fourth-place finishes in Iowa.

The past two winners of the Democratic New Hampshire primary, however — Sen. Bernie Sanders in 2016 and Hillary Clinton in 2008 — didn't go on to win the party's nomination, meaning a victory or loss in the Granite State won't necessarily make or break a candidate.

How Democrats elect their presidential nominee

Who did the polling say was ahead?

The most recent primary polls have shown the top five candidates all polling in double digits in the state, meaning the outcome is likely to be closely decided as it was in the Iowa caucuses.

FiveThirtyEight's forecast of the election gives Sanders a 68% chance of getting the most votes, followed by Mayor Pete Buttigieg, who it says has a 28% chance of getting the most votes.

In Real Clear Politics' average of New Hampshire polls, Sanders leads the field with 28.7% support on average compared with 21.3% for Buttigieg, 11.7% for Sen. Amy Klobuchar, 11% each for Warren and Biden, 3.7% for Andrew Yang, 3.3% for Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, and 3% for Tom Steyer.

Buttigieg received a significant 7-percentage-point surge in the state, to 21% from 14%, after his apparent first-place finish in the Iowa caucuses. And following her well-received performance in Friday night's debate, Klobuchar saw a mini-surge to 11.7% from 8%, putting her neck and neck with Biden and Warren.

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Walt was Business Insider's Deputy Editor for Data and Analysis.Hickey is the author of You Are What You Watch, and also writes Numlock News, a daily morning newsletter. He came from FiveThirtyEight where he was chief culture writer. Walt previously worked at Business Insider from 2012 to 2013, and  graduated from The College of William and Mary with a degree in Applied Mathematics. In additon to his work on elections and data journalism, he also edits comics at Business Insider.In 2022, Hickey won the Pulitzer Prize for Illustrated Reporting for his work on Business Insider's I Escaped A Chinese Internment Camp documenting the plight of Uyghurs in China. 
Grace was a senior politics reporter at Insider with a particular focus on election administration, voting rights, and helping manage Business Insider's partnership with Decision Desk HQ and the site's coverage of live election results.