Science

Flash floods are a worsening scourge worldwide — here's why

Several emergency services help in the rescue work, on 29 October, 2024 in Letur, Albacete, Castilla-La Mancha, Spain.
Spain is the latest country to be ravaged by flash floods, which have been increasing in frequency around the world. Victor Fernandez/Europa Press via Getty Images
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At least 95 people have been killed and many more are missing in the worst flooding to hit Spain in decades.

Torrential rain hit parts of the country on Tuesday, cutting off main roads, delaying flights, and damaging homes.

The rain was the result of a weather phenomenon known as a cold drop, in which cold air moves over warm water.

The air warms up and then rises rapidly, leading to the formation of huge cumulonimbus clouds capable of releasing violent downpours that can devastate towns and cities.

Such extreme weather events have a huge human and economic cost — and scientists believe the climate crisis combined with the way humans have developed the natural landscape, will only make the problem worse.

The cost of extreme weather

Estimates for the economic costs of extreme weather and flooding vary, but many tend to agree that they are on the rise.

According to the European Environment Agency, extreme weather in Europe caused economic losses of assets estimated at more than $800 billion between 1980 and 2023.

Last year, a study by Victoria University of Wellington in New Zealand said the damage caused by the climate crisis through extreme weather has cost $16 million an hour for the past 20 years.

The World Economic Forum calculated that the cost of extreme events had increased nearly eight times globally, inflation-adjusted, since the 1970s.

The impact of flash flooding can be particularly severe because, often, there is very little warning.

Flash flooding in dry areas

Flash floods are different from regular flooding because they develop quickly, in the span of a few hours or even minutes.

They can be far more devastating in dry areas because parched soil tends to repel water rather than allow it to soak in.

That means surges can result from as little as 10 millimeters in just one hour, according to a 2023 article in Nature.

"Our analysis using the Emergency Events Database shows that, since 2000, such regions experienced less than half (47%) of deadly flash floods globally, yet saw almost three-quarters (74%) of related deaths," the authors wrote.

The same researchers found that the rate of dryland flash flooding around the world was 20 times higher between 2000 and 2022 than it was between 1900 and 1999.

"Events of this type, which used to occur many decades apart, are now becoming more frequent, and their destructive capacity is greater," Ernesto Rodríguez Camino, a senior state meteorologist and member of the Spanish Meteorological Association said.

Why are there more flash floods?

Rainfall events are becoming more severe and sudden because of a simple law of physics: Warmer air holds more moisture.

That means that the warming atmosphere can carry more and more water vapor, driving fiercer rain events.

At the same time, the air pulls more moisture out of the ground and plants, driving drought.

In many places across the globe, this is causing more violent and sudden swings between drought and flood extremes. Daniel Swain, a climate scientist who studies the phenomenon at the University of California, Los Angeles, calls it "hydroclimate whiplash," or simply "weather whiplash."

man dumps bucket of brown water onto flooded street through shop doorway
A business struggles with floodwaters in San Carlos, California, during historic rainfall.  Tayfun Coskun/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images

"You can really go to any continent, in any season, and find something at this point," Swain told BI in January 2023, after a cyclone walloped drought-stricken California with devastating rains.

As countries, companies, and entire industries continue burning fossil fuels for energy, causing global temperatures to continue rising, this whiplash will likely get worse.

What's more, our cities, towns, and other infrastructure are not prepared.

According to the Environmental Defense Fund (EDF), a US-based nonprofit, modern infrastructure, including buildings, roads, and sidewalks, has eliminated natural landscape features that would have slowed flooding in the past.

It added that stormwater systems designed to protect buildings are often too old and not vast enough to handle the increasing amount of major weather events caused by climate change.

Additionally, houses are continuing to be built in areas that are prone to flooding, the organization said.

The World Health Organization (WHO) said people who live on floodplains or in buildings without flood protections or warning systems are most vulnerable.

What can be done?

Emergency workers clear debris the morning after heavy rains and flash floods hit the area on October 30, 2024 in Letur, Albacete province, Spain
Experts say new infrastructure and better warnings are important to minimize the impact of flash flooding.  Mateo Villalba Sanchez/Getty Images

Non-environmental factors, such as new infrastructure and better weather warnings, can help prevent the impact of flash flooding.

Critically, scientists say, industries and countries across the planet must drastically cut their greenhouse-gas emissions to slow the rise of global temperatures. Otherwise, flooding is likely to get worse and worse throughout the rest of the century.

Jess Neumann, an associate professor of Hydrology at the University of Reading, said that another long-term solution would involve the "radical redesign of urban areas."

"Flash floods can affect anyone, anywhere. We take preparation for other hazards such as earthquakes and tsunamis very seriously with education, drills, and emergency kits," she said. "It is time we afforded the same to flood risk preparedness."

John Marsham, a professor of atmospheric science at the University of Leeds, agrees with Neumann's assessment.

"Our entire infrastructure and civilization are based around a climate that no longer exists," he said, adding that some locations are becoming more difficult to insure against flood damage.

Some cities are already considering better precautions for extreme weather events. For example, in 2022, the US Army Corps of Engineers unveiled its proposal to build a $52 billion moveable sea barrier along the New York Harbor to protect against storm surges.

These protections would also allow local economies to recover faster.

The EDF reported that the average flood event from excessive rainfall in the US costs around $4.7 billion.

Marsham and Liz Stephens, a professor in climate risks and resilience, said that local governments should also implement stronger warnings about the risks of flash flooding to prevent death and injuries.

"People shouldn't be dying from these kinds of forecasted weather events in countries where they have the resources to do better," Stephens said.

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Mikhaila Friel
Mikhaila Friel
Mikhaila Friel was a senior reporter at Business Insider in the UK, where she covers news and lifestyle topics. Mikhaila began her career at BI in 2019, covering the royal family. Since then, she has covered every major royal event and has been interviewed on global broadcasters, including BBC News and BBC Radio. She interviewed royals around the world for BI's Royally Told series and hosted two virtual panels.Mikhaila also enjoyed writing visual travel features about her adventures at home in Scotland and abroad. In 2023, she shared her experiences island-hopping in Scotland and she also reviewed the 5-star hotel in Sicily where "The White Lotus" was filmed.Major outlets have cited her work, and in 2023, her essay about going on a second date in a graveyard was featured on The Drew Barrymore Show. 
Hannah Abraham was a newsroom fellow at Business Insider, reporting on anything that makes the headlines. Before this, she did the International Reporting Program at Deadline Hollywood, and has freelanced for The Guardian, Variety, NME, Teen Vogue and more.She graduated with a Distinction from her Master's in Digital Journalism from Goldsmiths, University of London, during which she was also selected for The Guardian's Positive Action Scheme as a Podcasting Fellow.
Morgan McFall-Johnsen was a science reporter at Business Insider. She covered climate change, weather, Earth sciences, and space, as well as health and medicine, environmental issues, and occasionally archaeology.Email her at mmcfalljohnsen@gmail.com and follow her on X @MorganMJohnsen.Expertise
  • Climate change and climate-crisis solutions
  • Extreme weather (heat, drought, floods, fires, hurricanes)
  • NASA and other space agencies
  • Commercial space industry (SpaceX, Blue Origin, satellite constellations)
  • Astronomy and physics (planets, galaxies, the sun, black holes, gravitational waves)
Morgan has interviewed astronauts aboard the International Space Station and published exclusive in-depth accounts of early COVID-19 outbreaks on cruise ships.She has appeared on NBC, Scripps News, Sirius XM, C-SPAN, and NPR to discuss climate change, extreme weather, Mars missions, the space race, and far-right extremism. She’s previously written for Backpacker Magazine, Outside Business Journal (formerly SNEWS), and Popular Science.She holds a Bachelor of Science in Journalism from Northwestern University, where she also studied environmental policy and French. She was a 2022 Logan Science Journalism Fellow at the Marine Biological Laboratory and a 2023 Columbia Energy Journalism Fellow.Popular stories