Enterprise

Wall Street says Amazon and VMware are teaming up to take down Microsoft in the cloud wars

AWS Andy Jassy
Amazon Web Services CEO Andy Jassy. Amazon
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Amazon's annual cloud conference, AWS re:Invent, is a gargantuan spectacle of crowds, electronic dance music, and a seemingly never ending stream of new announcements.

Most of all, it's a finely choreographed production designed to hammer home the message of Amazon Web Services' dominance in the cloud-computing market.

Financial-research firm Wedbush Securities estimates that about 30% of computing workloads are in the cloud today and that the number will reach 55% by 2022. It's a colossal market worth hundreds of billions of dollars, and Amazon is vying for all the customers it can get.

As the dust settles on Amazon's annual show, industry observers and analysts say this year's conference had one clear takeaway: the increasingly fierce and heated battle with Microsoft.

Onstage, AWS CEO Andy Jassy knocked at Microsoft Azure, constantly referring to it as the "next closest provider." But there's a reason why Amazon wants to bolster itself as the lead. Last quarter, Microsoft Azure saw 76% growth, and analysts say it's likely to continue its cloud momentum in the next 12 to 18 months.

Here's what analysts Business Insider spoke to had to say about AWS's recent announcements.

Hybrid cloud is the reality

On November 28, Amazon announced AWS Outposts, which lets users run Amazon cloud services or VMware Cloud in data centers and at on-premises facilities. That's a big deal because until now, AWS hadn't invested much in on-premises infrastructure, in which servers and computer storage are located at the customer's facilities rather than at Amazon's data centers.

microsoft data center
A Microsoft data center.  Microsoft

Outposts is a sign that Amazon is embracing reality — the fact that, at least in the near future, many customers need a "hybrid" cloud that combines on-premises and remote offerings. And IBM's recent announcement that it would acquire Red Hat, as well as its push into hybrid cloud, also underlines this fact. It's also an acknowledgement that pure public-cloud growth is slowing and the direction in cloud is shifting to hybrid, analysts at BTIG wrote.

Many customers are not yet ready to go all in on cloud, Sanjeev Mohan, senior director analyst at Gartner, said, even if they embrace a cloud strategy.

"A lot of customers are going to be on-prem for some time in the near future," Mohan told Business Insider. "I've talked to customers who tell me they will not move some of their workloads to the cloud, but their strategy is cloud-first. This information is so sensitive, they won't move it to the cloud, even though their strategy is cloud-first."

AWS's closest competitor, Microsoft Azure, has long embraced a hybrid cloud. But Amazon is a trendsetter, and with the announcement of Outposts, analysts said, it's going to set off a wave of companies moving to hybrid, whether in AWS, Azure, or other cloud providers.

"Until Bezos and AWS embraced it, it was not going to reach significant momentum in enterprise," Daniel Ives, managing director of equity research at Wedbush, told Business Insider. "Now that AWS has embraced this, I think it's a significant catalyst to more hybrid-cloud workloads, both on AWS and Azure, on the coming year."

A stronger partnership with VMware to take down Microsoft

Underpinning Ouptosts is a partnership between AWS and VMware. And that's one of the other major takeaways: a tighter partnership between the two enterprise companies. While AWS is still the winner in the cloud wars, Microsoft Azure is a looming threat. The gap between the two companies is closer than Amazon would like customers to think. In fact, analysts said, Microsoft's on a roll with cloud.

What Amazon lacks that Microsoft thrives in, Ives said, is a longstanding enterprise presence. Microsoft knows this, too, so it's massively amped up its spending among enterprises and hybrid-cloud deployments. AWS and VMware have been partners for a while, but this stronger partnership will likely attract more enterprise customers.

"VMware gives AWS a partner and really fills a hole or a void when they go up against Microsoft," Ives said. "When you look at the VMware-AWS partnership, as more enterprises move to the cloud, where Amazon lacks is they don't have an enterprise presence. They weren't an established enterprise presence like VMware or Microsoft."

AWS Andy Jassy, VMware Pat Gelsinger
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Ives believes that this stronger partnership has been forged by competition with Microsoft Azure. AWS's partnership with VMware will be a key ingredient in the recipe for sustaining its No. 1 position in the cloud wars.

"As they get more aggressive in traditional partnerships, that VMware linchpin is going to be crucial to the AWS success," Ives said. "Without VMware in tow, it would be difficult going up head-to-head [with Microsoft]."

Read more: Amazon's cloud is now embracing an idea that it spent almost a decade trashing — and it's a big sign that Microsoft was right

More artificial-intelligence technologies

AWS came out with a barrage of artificial-intelligence technology, including a document-reading AI called Textract, a machine-learning chip called Inferentia, and even DeepRacer, a mini, AI-powered autonomous racecar.

"They're constantly lowering the barrier and usage of AI," Mohan said. "They are making it faster, cheaper, and leveraging open-source frameworks. They make it easier for the general public to take advantage of machine learning without having to know machine learning."

These new technologies will also give AWS an edge in competing with Microsoft in the coming year, especially now that companies need to move more complex workloads to the cloud, analysts said.

Microsoft also has been arming Azure with AI capabilities, and this year it's made a series of acquisitions of AI startups. Last month, Microsoft announced it would acquire XOXCO, a Texas-based AI startup.

Even more databases

At re:Invent, Jassy asserted that Amazon would move off of Oracle's databases by the end of 2019, and Amazon chief technology officer Werner Vogels said that moving off of Oracle's largest data center in November was his happiest day at Amazon this year.

Jassy also highlighted AWS's massive portfolio of databases, notably Amazon Aurora and DynamoDB. AWS also announced a new database, Amazon Timestream, which helps users quickly analyze and store time-stamped events.

"Companies say, 'I have a relational database, non-relational database — check, check,'" Jassy said. But AWS, he boasted, has 11.

However, having more databases isn't always a good thing for cloud providers, Mohan said. Customers may get "analysis paralysis."

"When you have a lot of choices, you have to spend a lot of time figuring out what are the best solutions," Mohan said.

Still, BTIG analysts said AWS continues to make strides on all its databases as it continues moving its operations onto its own databases.

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Rosalie Chan
Rosalie Chan is a senior editor for Business Insider's tech team. Previously, she covered cloud computing and enterprise tech, reporting on companies like Google Cloud, Amazon Web Services, Microsoft, Intel, Alibaba Cloud, Atlassian, GitHub, VMware, Broadcom, and more. She has written extensively on topics including cloud computing, developer companies, open source, and sexism and sexual harassment in the tech industry. She has received the San Francisco Press Club award for continuing coverage for her reporting on sexism and sexual harassment in Silicon Slopes and the Excellence in Business / Consumer / Tech Reporting award from the Asian American Journalists Association for her investigation into the coding boot camp Holberton School. Most recently, she was an editor on the Business Insider investigative package, The True Cost of Data Centers, which received a George Polk Award and an honorable mention from SABEW.Rosalie joined Business Insider after working as a software engineer and freelance journalist. She studied journalism, computer science, and technology and business law at Northwestern University. Her work has previously appeared in TIME, the Huffington Post, VICE, Pacific Standard, Inverse, Chicago magazine, the Chicago Reporter, and more. She's based in San Francisco.